The Anhydrous Ethanol Forecasts for Q2 2026 show a market that moved in two very different directions depending on the source of supply. US-linked markets generally saw prices move higher because of tight domestic availability and firm export demand, while Brazil-linked markets moved lower as greater sugarcane-based supply put pressure on prices. This difference was clearly visible in Anhydrous Ethanol Prices across global markets. By June 2026, many markets experienced a correction, although a few European markets continued to move higher. πππ Please submit your query to get Anhydrous Ethanol Forecasts, forecast and market price analysis: Book a Demo - Price Watch Anhydrous Ethanol Market Overview in Q2 2026 Q2 2026 was an interesting quarter for the anhydrous ethanol market because there was no single price direction across all regions. Markets connected to US-origin ethanol generally recorded strong price increases. Tight supply in the United States, combined with firm export demand, pushed FOB Houston values higher. This increase was then reflected in the prices paid by buyers in importing countries. On the other side, Brazil-linked markets experienced lower prices. Brazil had ample sugarcane-based ethanol supply, which put downward pressure on FOB Santos prices. The lower Brazilian export values were then passed through to countries importing ethanol from Brazil. This created a clear origin-based difference in the market. In simple terms, the source of the ethanol mattered greatly during the quarter. The difference can also be seen in the Anhydrous Ethanol Price Chart, which would show stronger upward movement for US-linked markets and a downward trend for Brazil-linked markets. US Ethanol Prices Move Higher The United States was one of the main drivers of the upward price movement during Q2 2026. US anhydrous ethanol export prices on an FOB Houston basis increased by around 12.94% during the quarter. The main reason was tight domestic ethanol supply combined with firm export demand. When supply is limited while buyers continue to show interest, sellers generally have more room to maintain firm prices. That was the situation in the US market during much of Q2. Demand from fuel blending and industrial solvent applications also provided support. These are important areas of consumption, so steady demand helped keep the market elevated. However, the market did not continue moving higher throughout the entire quarter. In June 2026, US ethanol prices corrected by around 3.31% as buyers moderated their procurement. This June correction shows that even a firm market can experience short-term price declines when buying activity slows. India Anhydrous Ethanol Price Trend India recorded one of the stronger increases among the US-linked import markets. The Q2 2026 Anhydrous Ethanol Prices in India increased by around 16.83% for ethanol imported from the United States on a CIF Nhava Sheva basis. The main reason was the increase in US FOB pricing. As US export prices moved higher, the increase was reflected in the import market. Fuel blending and industrial solvent demand continued to support procurement. However, buyers became more cautious toward the end of the quarter. In June, prices corrected by around 0.78%. The Indian market therefore had a strong quarterly increase but a small monthly correction at the end of the quarter. This is a useful example of why quarterly and monthly price trends can tell different stories. India also showed how the source of ethanol can change the market picture. Ethanol imported from Brazil followed a different direction and declined by around 0.75% during Q2. Netherlands and Belgium See Strong Increases The Netherlands and Belgium were among the strongest-growing US-linked import markets during Q2. Anhydrous ethanol prices in the Netherlands increased by around 15.09% during the quarter on a CIF Rotterdam basis. The increase was linked to firmer US FOB prices, tight US supply, and firm export demand. Interestingly, the Netherlands did not follow the broader June correction. Prices increased by another 0.92% in June as import demand remained firm. Belgium also recorded a strong Q2 increase of around 13.94% on a CIF Antwerp basis. Like the Netherlands, Belgium saw a small additional increase in June. Prices rose by around 0.41%, showing that demand remained firm enough to support the market even while many other US-linked markets were correcting. These two markets demonstrate that local demand and buying conditions can sometimes prevent a global price correction from being fully reflected in a particular destination. Other US-Linked Import Markets The upward movement was not limited to Europe and India. Saudi Arabia recorded a Q2 increase of around 12.08%, while Colombia increased by approximately 11.16%. South Korea rose by around 12.55%, and Egypt recorded an increase of around 12.58%. Indonesia increased by around 11.54%, while the Philippines rose by around 12.08%. Canada recorded a Q2 increase of around 11.57%, and the United Kingdom increased by approximately 13.03%. Some markets had particularly noticeable June corrections. For example, Taiwan's Q2 increase was around 8.50%, but June prices declined by approximately 9.30%. Peru also experienced a sharp June correction of around 13.19% after recording a Q2 increase of around 6.69%. Mexico recorded a quarterly increase of around 9.85%, followed by a June decline of approximately 7.37%. Thailand increased by around 7.53% during Q2 and then declined by approximately 6.22% in June. These movements show that price trends can change quickly when buyers adjust their purchasing plans. Brazil Moves in the Opposite Direction Brazil provided the clearest contrast to the US-linked markets. Brazilian anhydrous ethanol export prices on an FOB Santos basis declined by around 6.74% during Q2 2026. The main reason was ample sugarcane-based supply. Greater availability of ethanol created downward pressure on export valuations, while softer export demand added to the weakness. The market moved even lower in June, with prices declining by another 5.33%. This is a straightforward example of how supply can influence commodity prices. When more material is available and demand is not strong enough to absorb that supply quickly, sellers may need to offer lower prices. Brazil-Linked Import Markets The lower Brazilian export prices were also reflected in countries importing ethanol from Brazil. The Philippines saw Brazilian-origin ethanol prices decline by around 7.26% during Q2. In June, prices fell by another 6.36%. Japan recorded a Q2 decline of around 6.38%, followed by a June decrease of approximately 4.63%. Belgium's Brazilian-origin ethanol prices declined by around 5.54% during Q2, while June brought another decline of around 4.81%. The Netherlands recorded a Q2 decline of approximately 6.14%, followed by a June correction of around 3.29%. South Korea's Brazilian-origin prices declined by around 6.94% during Q2 and another 3.86% in June. Singapore recorded one of the larger Q2 declines among the Brazilian-linked markets, falling by around 7.18%, followed by a June decline of approximately 3.74%. India was different again. Brazilian-origin ethanol prices declined by only around 0.75% during Q2, but June saw a much stronger correction of approximately 5.79%. Why Origin Matters for Anhydrous Ethanol Prices One of the biggest lessons from Q2 2026 is that the origin of ethanol can have a major influence on its price. US-linked markets were generally supported by tight supply and firm export demand. Brazilian-linked markets were pressured by greater sugarcane-based availability. Therefore, two buyers purchasing the same type of anhydrous ethanol could experience very different price conditions depending on their source. Freight, destination demand, availability, and procurement timing can further widen the difference. This is why businesses tracking Anhydrous Ethanol Prices should not look at only one international benchmark. Understanding where the product is coming from can provide important context. Anhydrous Ethanol Price Chart: What Does It Show? The Anhydrous Ethanol Price Chart for Q2 2026 would show a clear split between US-origin and Brazil-origin markets. US-linked markets would show a broad upward trend during the quarter, with several markets recording increases above 10%. The Netherlands, India, Belgium, the United Kingdom, and several other destinations recorded particularly strong quarterly increases. Brazil-linked markets would show the opposite pattern, with most prices declining between roughly 1% and 7%. The chart would also show an important June development: most markets experienced a correction. However, Belgium, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom were exceptions among the US-linked markets, with prices increasing modestly in June. Anhydrous Ethanol Price Index The Anhydrous Ethanol Price Index during Q2 2026 was shaped by the contrasting conditions in the US and Brazilian markets. On one side, tight US supply and strong export demand pushed prices higher. On the other side, ample Brazilian sugarcane-based supply created downward pressure. This difference is important when interpreting an index. A global or regional index can show the general market direction, but the underlying price movement may be very different from one origin or destination to another. The Q2 market demonstrates why price indexes are most useful when they are considered together with supply, demand, origin, and trade conditions. Anhydrous Ethanol Forecasts for the Coming Period Looking ahead, Anhydrous Ethanol Forecasts will depend on several key factors. The first is US ethanol availability. If domestic supply remains tight and export demand stays firm, US-linked prices could continue to receive support. On the other hand, improved availability or weaker buying activity could reduce some of that pressure. Brazilian supply will also remain important. Sugarcane availability and ethanol production will influence the amount of material available for domestic and export markets. Fuel blending demand is another major factor. Changes in blending requirements and gasoline consumption can affect ethanol demand directly. Industrial solvent demand will also remain relevant because ethanol is used across a range of industrial applications. Finally, buyers will continue watching freight costs and international trade flows. Changes in transportation expenses can affect the final delivered price even when the FOB price remains stable. For this reason, the future direction of the market should be viewed as dependent on these changing fundamentals rather than as a guaranteed continuation of the Q2 trend. Key Takeaways from Q2 2026 US-origin anhydrous ethanol prices generally increased during Q2 2026.
US FOB Houston prices increased by approximately 12.94%.
India recorded a US-origin increase of around 16.83%.
The Netherlands recorded an increase of around 15.09%.
Belgium increased by approximately 13.94%.
Brazil-origin prices moved lower during the quarter.
Brazilian FOB Santos prices declined by around 6.74%.
June brought corrections across most markets.
Belgium, the Netherlands, and the UK recorded modest June increases for US-origin ethanol.
Brazilian-origin markets generally experienced additional declines in June.
Supply availability, export demand, fuel blending, and procurement activity were major market factors.
Conclusion Q2 2026 was a clear example of how the global anhydrous ethanol market can move in different directions at the same time. US-linked markets generally recorded strong increases because tight supply and firm export demand supported higher FOB Houston prices. Those increases were passed through to importing markets including India, the Netherlands, Belgium, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Canada, and several other destinations. Brazil followed a different path. Ample sugarcane-based supply pushed FOB Santos prices lower, and those lower values were reflected in several Brazil-linked import markets. June 2026 then brought a broad correction. Buyers became more cautious in many markets, while Belgium, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom continued to see modest increases for US-origin material. The Anhydrous Ethanol Price Chart and Anhydrous Ethanol Price Index therefore tell an important story about supply origin and regional market conditions. Looking ahead, the most important factors for Anhydrous Ethanol Forecasts will be production availability, fuel-blending demand, export activity, feedstock conditions, inventories, and international trade. For buyers and market participants, the main takeaway is simple: understanding the direction of Anhydrous Ethanol Prices requires looking beyond the headline number and paying attention to where the ethanol comes from, how much is available, and how actively buyers are participating in the market. About Price Watchβ’ Price Watchβ’ is an India-based, independent raw material price reporting agency that provides real-time price forecasts and data-driven insights into global raw material markets. Price Watchβ’ specializes in tracking raw material prices, analyzing market trends, and delivering timely updates on plant shutdowns, supply disruptions, capacity expansions, and demand-supply dynamics. The Price Watchβ’ platform empowers manufacturers, traders, and procurement professionals to make faster, smarter decisions. Leveraging AI-powered forecasting and over a decade of historical data, Price Watchβ’ transforms market volatility into actionable opportunity. Futura Tech Park, C Block, 8th floor 334, Old Mahabalipuram Road, Sholinganallur, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, Pincode - 600119. ππ’π§π€ππππ§: https://www.linkedin.com/company/price-watch-ai/ π πππππ¨π¨π€: https://www.facebook.com/people//61568490385598/ ππ°π’ππππ«: https://x.com/pricewatchai ππππ¬π’ππ: https://www.price-watch.ai/